XRP Reaches a Crossroads: Lewis Jackson Explains the ZK Rollup Dilemma

In Episode 009 of The Macro, crypto analyst Lewis Jackson examines one of the most consequential inflection points in XRP’s history. His new research explores how automated market makers, zero-knowledge rollups, liquidity velocity, and emerging regulatory architectures will determine whether XRP matures into high-value settlement infrastructure — or remains a high-velocity payment token with limited price implications. This report summarises Jackson’s thesis, the global signals he cites, and why the XRP Ledger now stands at a structural crossroads.
Lewis Jackson
CEO and Founder

The XRP Crossroads: Lewis Jackson’s Most Pivotal Analysis Yet

In the latest episode of The Macro, Lewis Jackson delivers a detailed examination of the forces now shaping XRP’s long-term trajectory. His analysis moves beyond familiar ripple xrp news cycles and instead places XRP inside the broader transition toward tokenized assets, CBDC settlement architectures, AMM-driven liquidity, and privacy-enabled execution layers.

Across the episode, Jackson highlights a single defining idea:
the future system architecture banks choose will determine whether XRP needs a much higher price — or almost none at all.

This choice hinges on a tension playing out inside the global financial system: the push for greater efficiency versus the growing demand for privacy.

High-Velocity XRP vs High-Value XRP — The Debate Reframed

Jackson opens by revisiting recent comments from Ripple CTO David Schwartz. For years, Schwartz has argued that a bridge asset cannot be “dirt cheap” if it is to enable global-scale liquidity. That logic made sense in a world built on nostro/vostro pre-funding and slow correspondent-banking machinery.

But, as Jackson emphasises, the system Schwartz described a decade ago has changed.
The world XRP is entering today is shaped by:

  • tokenized deposits
  • stablecoin settlement rails
  • wholesale CBDC pilots
  • automated market makers (AMMs)
  • “always-on” liquidity pools
  • AI-driven settlement routing
  • cross-ledger interoperability frameworks

This shift changes the mathematical requirements for XRP’s price — and it’s this structural change Jackson unpacks.

The Global System Is Migrating to Modular Architecture

Jackson draws heavily on BIS documentation and CBDC pilot results, noting that the world’s financial infrastructure is now evolving around two core priorities:

  1. Greater efficiency
  2. Stronger privacy

These two priorities pull XRP’s valuation mechanics in opposite directions.

Efficiency → High velocity → Lower XRP price requirement

As settlement systems become faster and more automated, they rely less on large pre-funded liquidity buffers. Tokenized deposits, real-time payment networks, and AMM-driven liquidity recycling reduce the total number of XRP units needed for conversion.

This version of the future benefits from:

  • rapid transaction cycles
  • high reuse of liquidity
  • reduced friction in neutral FX routing
  • AI-driven optimization of payment paths

In such a world, Jackson argues that XRP can serve as global conversion infrastructure even at relatively low valuations, because the system requires speed rather than stored value.

Privacy → ZK rollups → Higher XRP price requirement

But the opposite dynamic emerges when privacy is introduced.

Zero-knowledge rollups (ZK rollups), privacy chains, and private settlement layers — increasingly referenced in CBDC research — batch transactions rather than settling them continuously. Batching reduces velocity, and lower velocity pushes the system toward higher-value bridge assets.

Jackson notes that if XRPL adopts a ZK rollup environment:

  • fewer settlement cycles occur
  • more value must be held per batch
  • AMM pools must lock deeper liquidity
  • conversion assets require higher unit value to function

This is where high-value XRP theories become feasible — not through speculation, but through system mechanics.

Why ZK Rollups Matter for XRPL

Jackson offers a simple analogy:
Without rollups, every transaction must go to “town hall” (the L1 XRPL).
With rollups, transactions occur privately off-chain and then settle at once with a single cryptographic proof.

This approach provides:

  • scale (thousands of actions rolled into one)
  • privacy (internal details remain confidential)
  • institutional compliance (matches CBDC confidentiality requirements)

For tokenized treasuries, securities, deposits, and CBDCs — ZK rollups solve problems XRPL currently cannot.

This triggers the central question of the episode:
Will XRPL adopt ZK rollups — and what happens to XRP depending on that choice?

Two Divergent Futures for XRP

Lewis Jackson frames the future around two possible system architectures.

Scenario A: The High-Efficiency, High-Velocity Future

Impact on XRP: lower required price

In this model:

  • AMMs drive liquidity routing
  • stablecoins and tokenized deposits dominate settlement
  • CBDCs interoperate directly across networks
  • AI selects optimal paths in real-time
  • liquidity pools continuously recycle balances

This scenario maximises velocity — reducing the amount of XRP required for any given flow.

Scenario B: A ZK Rollup-Centric, Low-Velocity Settlement Layer

Impact on XRP: higher required price

Here, XRPL evolves into a settlement hub where:

  • rollups batch large volumes of institutional transactions
  • privacy layers restrict real-time flow
  • settlement happens in larger, more valuable units
  • collateral requirements grow
  • AMM pools hold deeper reserves

This version of the future inherently requires a higher-priced XRP to function as a neutral, collateralised bridge asset across tokenized markets.

Global Signals Supporting a ZK-Rollup Future

Throughout the episode, Jackson highlights global signals pointing toward privacy and modularity:

  • Deutsche Bank exploring ZK rollups for securities
  • Chainlink CCIP connecting banks to blockchain rails
  • Swift’s blockchain experiments
  • Bank of England CBDC design references
  • R3 and Project Guardian tokenization work
  • ISO 20022 data-rich messaging
  • RLUSD stablecoin development
  • XRPL’s EVM sidechain progress via Axelar

Together, these trends support an emerging architecture based on rollups, modular layers, programmable liquidity, and cross-ledger execution.

XRP must adapt — and Jackson argues that Ripple and the XRPL community appear to be preparing for exactly that.

What XRP Holders Should Watch Next

Jackson ends the episode with a list of structural signals that would confirm XRPL is moving toward a ZK rollup future:

  1. XRPL-specific ZK proof systems or recursive-proof announcements
  2. Hooks, AMMs, or XLS-30 integrations that resemble rollup execution models
  3. Rollup-as-a-Service providers (AltLayer, Caldera, LayerZero) referencing XRPL
  4. Ripple discussing private settlement or ZK-ledger functionality
  5. Wholesale CBDC pilots naming XRPL explicitly
  6. Greater interoperability between XRPL and CCIP, LayerZero, Squid

If these signals begin to appear, Jackson believes XRP’s long-term valuation framework could change dramatically.

Watch the Full Episode

To understand the forces reshaping XRP’s future — from AMM-based liquidity to ZK rollups and tokenized settlement networks — watch the full episode of The Macro.

For continuing research on XRPL, Ripple news, CBDCs, programmable finance, tokenized assets, and the architecture of the new financial system, follow Lewis Jackson Ventures.

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